But one particular "exception" eluded Cave's analysis - Tea Party-backed candidate Joe Miller, who is challenging Sen. Lisa Murkowski in a Republican primary race in Alaska. Cave wrote:
In Alaska, Senator Lisa Murkowski also faced an insurgent candidate, the Tea Party favorite Joe Miller, but after outspending him significantly she appeared to have a comfortable lead heading into the primary.
The race didn't quite turn out that way, as Miller holds a slight lead with almost all the ballots counted. Here's Cave, hedging in a Wednesday morning repor t at nytimes.com:
Senator Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, whose family has held a decades-long grip on one of the state's two Senate seats, was in a surprisingly tight race Wednesday morning against an insurgent candidate, a Tea Party favorite who received the backing of Sarah Palin.
As of 10 o'clock Wednesday morning, Murkowski was trailing Miller  by 1,980 votes, with 98% of precincts reporting.